Rational Inflation Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.09

IGOAX Fund  USD 9.49  0.00  0.00%   
Rational Inflation's future price is the expected price of Rational Inflation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rational Inflation Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Rational Inflation's target price for which you would like Rational Inflation odds to be computed.

Rational Inflation Target Price Odds to finish below 9.09

The tendency of Rational Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.09  or more in 90 days
 9.49 90 days 9.09 
about 9.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rational Inflation to drop to $ 9.09  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.83 (This Rational Inflation Growth probability density function shows the probability of Rational Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rational Inflation Growth price to stay between $ 9.09  and its current price of $9.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Inflation Growth has a beta of -0.0171. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rational Inflation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rational Inflation Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rational Inflation Growth has an alpha of 0.0852, implying that it can generate a 0.0852 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rational Inflation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rational Inflation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rational Inflation Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.099.499.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.809.209.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.159.559.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.489.499.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rational Inflation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rational Inflation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rational Inflation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rational Inflation Growth.

Rational Inflation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rational Inflation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rational Inflation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rational Inflation Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rational Inflation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Rational Inflation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rational Inflation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rational Inflation Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rational Inflation is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
The fund retains about 19.32% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Rational Inflation Technical Analysis

Rational Inflation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rational Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rational Inflation Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rational Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rational Inflation Predictive Forecast Models

Rational Inflation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rational Inflation's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rational Inflation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rational Inflation Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rational Inflation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rational Inflation Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rational Inflation is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
The fund retains about 19.32% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Rational Mutual Fund

Rational Inflation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rational Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rational with respect to the benefits of owning Rational Inflation security.
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