Igoria Trade (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.24

IGT Stock   0.24  0.01  4.00%   
Igoria Trade's future price is the expected price of Igoria Trade instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Igoria Trade SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Igoria Trade Backtesting, Igoria Trade Valuation, Igoria Trade Correlation, Igoria Trade Hype Analysis, Igoria Trade Volatility, Igoria Trade History as well as Igoria Trade Performance.
  
Please specify Igoria Trade's target price for which you would like Igoria Trade odds to be computed.

Igoria Trade Target Price Odds to finish below 0.24

The tendency of Igoria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.24 90 days 0.24 
about 5.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Igoria Trade to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 5.27 (This Igoria Trade SA probability density function shows the probability of Igoria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Igoria Trade SA has a beta of -0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Igoria Trade are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Igoria Trade SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Igoria Trade SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Igoria Trade Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Igoria Trade

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Igoria Trade SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Igoria Trade's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.243.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.213.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.233.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.230.250.27
Details

Igoria Trade Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Igoria Trade is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Igoria Trade's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Igoria Trade SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Igoria Trade within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Igoria Trade Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Igoria Trade for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Igoria Trade SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Igoria Trade SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Igoria Trade SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Igoria Trade SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Igoria Trade Technical Analysis

Igoria Trade's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Igoria Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Igoria Trade SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Igoria Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Igoria Trade Predictive Forecast Models

Igoria Trade's time-series forecasting models is one of many Igoria Trade's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Igoria Trade's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Igoria Trade SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Igoria Trade for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Igoria Trade SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Igoria Trade SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Igoria Trade SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Igoria Trade SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Additional Tools for Igoria Stock Analysis

When running Igoria Trade's price analysis, check to measure Igoria Trade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Igoria Trade is operating at the current time. Most of Igoria Trade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Igoria Trade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Igoria Trade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Igoria Trade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.