Inspiration Healthcare (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.62
| IHC Stock | 15.50 0.25 1.59% |
Inspiration |
Inspiration Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 16.62
The tendency of Inspiration Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 16.62 after 90 days |
| 15.50 | 90 days | 16.62 | about 19.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inspiration Healthcare to stay under 16.62 after 90 days from now is about 19.87 (This Inspiration Healthcare Group probability density function shows the probability of Inspiration Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inspiration Healthcare price to stay between its current price of 15.50 and 16.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inspiration Healthcare has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inspiration Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inspiration Healthcare Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inspiration Healthcare Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Inspiration Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inspiration Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inspiration Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inspiration Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inspiration Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inspiration Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inspiration Healthcare Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inspiration Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.38 |
Inspiration Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inspiration Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inspiration Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inspiration Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inspiration Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 37.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.09 M. | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Inspiration Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inspiration Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inspiration Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inspiration Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 609 K |
Inspiration Healthcare Technical Analysis
Inspiration Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inspiration Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inspiration Healthcare Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inspiration Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inspiration Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Inspiration Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inspiration Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inspiration Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inspiration Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inspiration Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inspiration Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inspiration Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inspiration Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 37.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.09 M. | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Inspiration Stock
Inspiration Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inspiration Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inspiration with respect to the benefits of owning Inspiration Healthcare security.