IMPACT SILVER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.19

IKL Stock  EUR 0.16  0.02  11.11%   
IMPACT SILVER's future price is the expected price of IMPACT SILVER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IMPACT SILVER performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IMPACT SILVER Backtesting, IMPACT SILVER Valuation, IMPACT SILVER Correlation, IMPACT SILVER Hype Analysis, IMPACT SILVER Volatility, IMPACT SILVER History as well as IMPACT SILVER Performance.
  
Please specify IMPACT SILVER's target price for which you would like IMPACT SILVER odds to be computed.

IMPACT SILVER Target Price Odds to finish over 0.19

The tendency of IMPACT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.19  or more in 90 days
 0.16 90 days 0.19 
about 14.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IMPACT SILVER to move over € 0.19  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.24 (This IMPACT SILVER probability density function shows the probability of IMPACT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IMPACT SILVER price to stay between its current price of € 0.16  and € 0.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IMPACT SILVER has a beta of -0.0404. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IMPACT SILVER are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IMPACT SILVER is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IMPACT SILVER has an alpha of 0.2247, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IMPACT SILVER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IMPACT SILVER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IMPACT SILVER. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.165.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.145.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.175.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.140.160.19
Details

IMPACT SILVER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IMPACT SILVER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IMPACT SILVER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IMPACT SILVER, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IMPACT SILVER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

IMPACT SILVER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IMPACT SILVER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IMPACT SILVER can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IMPACT SILVER had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
IMPACT SILVER has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
IMPACT SILVER has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 17.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (545.34 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

IMPACT SILVER Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IMPACT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IMPACT SILVER's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IMPACT SILVER's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding145.4 M

IMPACT SILVER Technical Analysis

IMPACT SILVER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IMPACT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IMPACT SILVER. In general, you should focus on analyzing IMPACT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IMPACT SILVER Predictive Forecast Models

IMPACT SILVER's time-series forecasting models is one of many IMPACT SILVER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IMPACT SILVER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IMPACT SILVER

Checking the ongoing alerts about IMPACT SILVER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IMPACT SILVER help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IMPACT SILVER had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
IMPACT SILVER has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
IMPACT SILVER has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 17.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (545.34 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Additional Tools for IMPACT Stock Analysis

When running IMPACT SILVER's price analysis, check to measure IMPACT SILVER's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IMPACT SILVER is operating at the current time. Most of IMPACT SILVER's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IMPACT SILVER's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IMPACT SILVER's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IMPACT SILVER to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.