Ilika Plc Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

ILIKF Stock  USD 0.25  0.01  3.85%   
Ilika Plc's future price is the expected price of Ilika Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ilika plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ilika Plc Backtesting, Ilika Plc Valuation, Ilika Plc Correlation, Ilika Plc Hype Analysis, Ilika Plc Volatility, Ilika Plc History as well as Ilika Plc Performance.
  
Please specify Ilika Plc's target price for which you would like Ilika Plc odds to be computed.

Ilika Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Ilika OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.25 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ilika Plc to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ilika plc probability density function shows the probability of Ilika OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ilika plc price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ilika plc has a beta of -0.44. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ilika Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ilika plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ilika plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ilika Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ilika Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ilika plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.255.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.225.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.285.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.240.250.26
Details

Ilika Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ilika Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ilika Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ilika plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ilika Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Ilika Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ilika Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ilika plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ilika plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ilika plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ilika plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 30.88 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.31 K.
Ilika plc has accumulated about 23.4 M in cash with (5.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15.

Ilika Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ilika OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ilika Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ilika Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding157.6 M

Ilika Plc Technical Analysis

Ilika Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ilika OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ilika plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ilika OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ilika Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Ilika Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ilika Plc's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ilika Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ilika plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ilika Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ilika plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ilika plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ilika plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ilika plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 30.88 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.31 K.
Ilika plc has accumulated about 23.4 M in cash with (5.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15.

Other Information on Investing in Ilika OTC Stock

Ilika Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ilika OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ilika with respect to the benefits of owning Ilika Plc security.