Triller Group Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.36
| ILLR Stock | 2.92 0.19 6.11% |
Triller |
Triller Target Price Odds to finish below 3.36
The tendency of Triller Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.36 after 90 days |
| 2.92 | 90 days | 3.36 | about 20.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Triller to stay under 3.36 after 90 days from now is about 20.11 (This Triller Group probability density function shows the probability of Triller Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Triller Group price to stay between its current price of 2.92 and 3.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 5.27 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Triller will likely underperform. Additionally Triller Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Triller Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Triller
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triller Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Triller Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Triller is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Triller's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Triller Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Triller within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 5.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Triller Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Triller for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Triller Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Triller Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Triller Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Triller Group was previously known as AGBA Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol AGBA. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (294.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Triller generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Triller Group Announces Investor Day to Highlight Vision, Roadmap, and Growth Strategies |
Triller Technical Analysis
Triller's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Triller Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Triller Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Triller Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Triller Predictive Forecast Models
Triller's time-series forecasting models is one of many Triller's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Triller's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Triller Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Triller for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Triller Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Triller Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Triller Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Triller Group was previously known as AGBA Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol AGBA. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (294.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Triller generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Triller Group Announces Investor Day to Highlight Vision, Roadmap, and Growth Strategies |
Additional Tools for Triller Stock Analysis
When running Triller's price analysis, check to measure Triller's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triller is operating at the current time. Most of Triller's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triller's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triller's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triller to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.