Illumina (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 99.82

ILU Stock  EUR 140.26  9.38  7.17%   
Illumina's future price is the expected price of Illumina instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Illumina performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Illumina Backtesting, Illumina Valuation, Illumina Correlation, Illumina Hype Analysis, Illumina Volatility, Illumina History as well as Illumina Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Illumina Stock please use our How to Invest in Illumina guide.
  
Please specify Illumina's target price for which you would like Illumina odds to be computed.

Illumina Target Price Odds to finish over 99.82

The tendency of Illumina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 99.82  in 90 days
 140.26 90 days 99.82 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Illumina to stay above € 99.82  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Illumina probability density function shows the probability of Illumina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Illumina price to stay between € 99.82  and its current price of €140.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This usually indicates Illumina market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Illumina is expected to follow. Additionally Illumina has an alpha of 0.2347, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Illumina Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Illumina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Illumina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.9338.5941.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
137.83140.36142.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
125.29134.84144.39
Details

Illumina Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Illumina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Illumina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Illumina, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Illumina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
9.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Illumina Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Illumina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Illumina can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 4.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.4 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.15 B.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Illumina Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Illumina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Illumina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Illumina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158 M

Illumina Technical Analysis

Illumina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Illumina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Illumina. In general, you should focus on analyzing Illumina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Illumina Predictive Forecast Models

Illumina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Illumina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Illumina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Illumina

Checking the ongoing alerts about Illumina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Illumina help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 4.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.4 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.15 B.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Illumina Stock

When determining whether Illumina offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Illumina's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Illumina Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Illumina Stock:
Check out Illumina Backtesting, Illumina Valuation, Illumina Correlation, Illumina Hype Analysis, Illumina Volatility, Illumina History as well as Illumina Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Illumina Stock please use our How to Invest in Illumina guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Illumina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Illumina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Illumina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.