Ilex Medical (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6648.57

ILX Stock   6,659  29.00  0.44%   
Ilex Medical's future price is the expected price of Ilex Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ilex Medical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ilex Medical Backtesting, Ilex Medical Valuation, Ilex Medical Correlation, Ilex Medical Hype Analysis, Ilex Medical Volatility, Ilex Medical History as well as Ilex Medical Performance.
  
Please specify Ilex Medical's target price for which you would like Ilex Medical odds to be computed.

Ilex Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 6648.57

The tendency of Ilex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  6,649  or more in 90 days
 6,659 90 days 6,649 
about 77.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ilex Medical to drop to  6,649  or more in 90 days from now is about 77.28 (This Ilex Medical probability density function shows the probability of Ilex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ilex Medical price to stay between  6,649  and its current price of 6659.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ilex Medical has a beta of -0.32. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ilex Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ilex Medical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ilex Medical has an alpha of 0.0682, implying that it can generate a 0.0682 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ilex Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ilex Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ilex Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,6576,6596,661
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,5485,5507,325
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,6266,6286,630
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,6226,6496,677
Details

Ilex Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ilex Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ilex Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ilex Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ilex Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
213.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Ilex Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ilex Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ilex Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ilex Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ilex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ilex Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ilex Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.3 M

Ilex Medical Technical Analysis

Ilex Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ilex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ilex Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ilex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ilex Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Ilex Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ilex Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ilex Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ilex Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ilex Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ilex Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ilex Stock

Ilex Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ilex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ilex with respect to the benefits of owning Ilex Medical security.