Indomobil Sukses (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 915.37
| IMAS Stock | IDR 975.00 20.00 2.01% |
Indomobil |
Indomobil Sukses Target Price Odds to finish below 915.37
The tendency of Indomobil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 915.37 or more in 90 days |
| 975.00 | 90 days | 915.37 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indomobil Sukses to drop to 915.37 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Indomobil Sukses Internasional probability density function shows the probability of Indomobil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indomobil Sukses Int price to stay between 915.37 and its current price of 975.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indomobil Sukses Internasional has a beta of -0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Indomobil Sukses are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Indomobil Sukses Internasional is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Indomobil Sukses Internasional has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Indomobil Sukses Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indomobil Sukses
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indomobil Sukses Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Indomobil Sukses Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indomobil Sukses is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indomobil Sukses' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indomobil Sukses Internasional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indomobil Sukses within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 103.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Indomobil Sukses Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indomobil Sukses for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indomobil Sukses Int can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indomobil Sukses Int generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Indomobil Sukses Internasional has accumulated 10.76 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.45, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Indomobil Sukses Int has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Indomobil Sukses until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Indomobil Sukses' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Indomobil Sukses Int sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Indomobil to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Indomobil Sukses' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 19.17 T. Net Loss for the year was (264.78 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3 T. | |
| About 88.0% of Indomobil Sukses shares are held by company insiders |
Indomobil Sukses Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indomobil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indomobil Sukses' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indomobil Sukses' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 T |
Indomobil Sukses Technical Analysis
Indomobil Sukses' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indomobil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indomobil Sukses Internasional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indomobil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indomobil Sukses Predictive Forecast Models
Indomobil Sukses' time-series forecasting models is one of many Indomobil Sukses' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indomobil Sukses' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indomobil Sukses Int
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indomobil Sukses for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indomobil Sukses Int help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indomobil Sukses Int generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Indomobil Sukses Internasional has accumulated 10.76 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.45, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Indomobil Sukses Int has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Indomobil Sukses until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Indomobil Sukses' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Indomobil Sukses Int sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Indomobil to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Indomobil Sukses' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 19.17 T. Net Loss for the year was (264.78 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3 T. | |
| About 88.0% of Indomobil Sukses shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Indomobil Stock
Indomobil Sukses financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indomobil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indomobil with respect to the benefits of owning Indomobil Sukses security.