Immuron (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.077
| IMC Stock | 0.08 0 1.32% |
Immuron |
Immuron Target Price Odds to finish over 0.077
The tendency of Immuron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.08 | 90 days | 0.08 | about 79.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Immuron to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.58 (This Immuron probability density function shows the probability of Immuron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Immuron has a beta of 0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Immuron average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Immuron will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Immuron has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Immuron Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Immuron
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immuron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Immuron Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Immuron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Immuron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Immuron, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Immuron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Immuron Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Immuron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Immuron can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Immuron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Immuron has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Immuron has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.74 M. | |
| Immuron generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Immuron Limited Showcases Promising Biopharmaceutical Innovations - TipRanks |
Immuron Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Immuron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Immuron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Immuron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 227.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.7 M |
Immuron Technical Analysis
Immuron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Immuron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Immuron. In general, you should focus on analyzing Immuron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Immuron Predictive Forecast Models
Immuron's time-series forecasting models is one of many Immuron's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Immuron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Immuron
Checking the ongoing alerts about Immuron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Immuron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Immuron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Immuron has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Immuron has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.74 M. | |
| Immuron generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Immuron Limited Showcases Promising Biopharmaceutical Innovations - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Immuron Stock Analysis
When running Immuron's price analysis, check to measure Immuron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immuron is operating at the current time. Most of Immuron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immuron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immuron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immuron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.