Integrated Micro (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.18
| IMI Stock | 1.65 0.01 0.60% |
Integrated |
Integrated Micro Target Price Odds to finish over 4.18
The tendency of Integrated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.18 or more in 90 days |
| 1.65 | 90 days | 4.18 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Integrated Micro to move over 4.18 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Integrated Micro Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Integrated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Integrated Micro Ele price to stay between its current price of 1.65 and 4.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Integrated Micro has a beta of 0.52. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Integrated Micro average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Integrated Micro Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Integrated Micro Electronics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Integrated Micro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Integrated Micro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrated Micro Ele. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Integrated Micro Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Integrated Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Integrated Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Integrated Micro Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Integrated Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Integrated Micro Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Integrated Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Integrated Micro Ele can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Integrated Micro Ele generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Integrated Micro Ele may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (14.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Integrated Micro Electronics has accumulated about 5.5 M in cash with (47.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Integrated Micro Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Integrated Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Integrated Micro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integrated Micro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 159.8 M |
Integrated Micro Technical Analysis
Integrated Micro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Integrated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Integrated Micro Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Integrated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Integrated Micro Predictive Forecast Models
Integrated Micro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Integrated Micro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Integrated Micro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Integrated Micro Ele
Checking the ongoing alerts about Integrated Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Integrated Micro Ele help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Integrated Micro Ele generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Integrated Micro Ele may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (14.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Integrated Micro Electronics has accumulated about 5.5 M in cash with (47.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Integrated Stock
Integrated Micro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Integrated Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Integrated with respect to the benefits of owning Integrated Micro security.