Impack Pratama (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 335.26
| IMPC Stock | IDR 334.00 12.00 3.47% |
Impack |
Impack Pratama Target Price Odds to finish over 335.26
The tendency of Impack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 335.26 or more in 90 days |
| 334.00 | 90 days | 335.26 | about 69.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impack Pratama to move over 335.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 69.27 (This Impack Pratama Industri probability density function shows the probability of Impack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Impack Pratama Industri price to stay between its current price of 334.00 and 335.26 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Impack Pratama Industri has a beta of -0.19. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Impack Pratama are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Impack Pratama Industri is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Impack Pratama Industri has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Impack Pratama Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Impack Pratama
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impack Pratama Industri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Impack Pratama Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impack Pratama is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impack Pratama's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impack Pratama Industri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impack Pratama within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Impack Pratama Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impack Pratama for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impack Pratama Industri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Impack Pratama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Impack Pratama Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Impack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Impack Pratama's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impack Pratama's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 129.5 B |
Impack Pratama Technical Analysis
Impack Pratama's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impack Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impack Pratama Industri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impack Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Impack Pratama Predictive Forecast Models
Impack Pratama's time-series forecasting models is one of many Impack Pratama's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impack Pratama's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Impack Pratama Industri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Impack Pratama for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impack Pratama Industri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Impack Pratama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Impack Stock
Impack Pratama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impack Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impack with respect to the benefits of owning Impack Pratama security.