Impero AS (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.5

IMPERO Stock  DKK 5.50  0.25  4.35%   
Impero AS's future price is the expected price of Impero AS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Impero AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Impero AS Backtesting, Impero AS Valuation, Impero AS Correlation, Impero AS Hype Analysis, Impero AS Volatility, Impero AS History as well as Impero AS Performance.
  
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Impero AS Target Price Odds to finish below 5.5

The tendency of Impero Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 5.50 90 days 5.50 
about 86.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impero AS to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 86.18 (This Impero AS probability density function shows the probability of Impero Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Impero AS has a beta of -1.04. This usually indicates Additionally Impero AS has an alpha of 0.4519, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Impero AS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Impero AS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impero AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.285.5011.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.4910.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.125.8912.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.325.166.00
Details

Impero AS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impero AS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impero AS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impero AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impero AS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Impero AS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impero AS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impero AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impero AS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Impero AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 15.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.32 M.
Impero AS generates negative cash flow from operations
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Impero AS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Impero Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Impero AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impero AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.5 M

Impero AS Technical Analysis

Impero AS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impero Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impero AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impero Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Impero AS Predictive Forecast Models

Impero AS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Impero AS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impero AS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Impero AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Impero AS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impero AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impero AS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Impero AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 15.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.32 M.
Impero AS generates negative cash flow from operations
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Impero Stock

Impero AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impero Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impero with respect to the benefits of owning Impero AS security.