Impac Mortgage Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.041
| IMPM Stock | 0.03 0.01 25.00% |
Impac |
Impac Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish over 0.041
The tendency of Impac Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 38.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impac Mortgage to move over 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.46 (This Impac Mortgage Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Impac Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Impac Mortgage Holdings price to stay between its current price of 0.03 and 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.21 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.67 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Impac Mortgage will likely underperform. Additionally Impac Mortgage Holdings has an alpha of 0.8145, implying that it can generate a 0.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Impac Mortgage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Impac Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impac Mortgage Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Impac Mortgage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impac Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impac Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impac Mortgage Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impac Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Impac Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impac Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impac Mortgage Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Impac Mortgage is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Impac Mortgage has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Impac Mortgage appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Impac Mortgage Technical Analysis
Impac Mortgage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impac Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impac Mortgage Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impac Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Impac Mortgage Predictive Forecast Models
Impac Mortgage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Impac Mortgage's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impac Mortgage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Impac Mortgage Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Impac Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impac Mortgage Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Impac Mortgage is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Impac Mortgage has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Impac Mortgage appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |