Inbar Group (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 312.24
| INBR Stock | 324.20 4.20 1.31% |
Inbar |
Inbar Group Target Price Odds to finish below 312.24
The tendency of Inbar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 312.24 or more in 90 days |
| 324.20 | 90 days | 312.24 | about 91.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inbar Group to drop to 312.24 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.66 (This Inbar Group Finance probability density function shows the probability of Inbar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inbar Group Finance price to stay between 312.24 and its current price of 324.2 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inbar Group has a beta of 0.73. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inbar Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inbar Group Finance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inbar Group Finance has an alpha of 0.4977, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inbar Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inbar Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inbar Group Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inbar Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inbar Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inbar Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inbar Group Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inbar Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 30.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Inbar Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inbar Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inbar Group Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inbar Group Finance is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Inbar Group Finance appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Inbar Group Finance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Net Loss for the year was (17.2 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.54 M). | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Inbar Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inbar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inbar Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inbar Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.7 M |
Inbar Group Technical Analysis
Inbar Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inbar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inbar Group Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inbar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inbar Group Predictive Forecast Models
Inbar Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inbar Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inbar Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inbar Group Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inbar Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inbar Group Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inbar Group Finance is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Inbar Group Finance appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Inbar Group Finance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Net Loss for the year was (17.2 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.54 M). | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Inbar Stock
Inbar Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inbar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inbar with respect to the benefits of owning Inbar Group security.