Inepar SA (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.3
| INEP3 Stock | BRL 1.31 0.01 0.77% |
Inepar |
Inepar SA Target Price Odds to finish below 1.3
The tendency of Inepar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 1.30 or more in 90 days |
| 1.31 | 90 days | 1.30 | nearly 4.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inepar SA to drop to R$ 1.30 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.08 (This Inepar SA Indstria probability density function shows the probability of Inepar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inepar SA Indstria price to stay between R$ 1.30 and its current price of R$1.31 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inepar SA has a beta of 0.75. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inepar SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inepar SA Indstria will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inepar SA Indstria has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Inepar SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inepar SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inepar SA Indstria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inepar SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inepar SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inepar SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inepar SA Indstria, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inepar SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Inepar SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inepar SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inepar SA Indstria can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inepar SA Indstria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inepar SA Indstria may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Inepar SA Indstria has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Inepar SA Indstria has accumulated 476.92 M in total debt. Inepar SA Indstria has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Inepar SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Inepar SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Inepar SA Indstria sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Inepar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Inepar SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Inepar SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inepar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inepar SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inepar SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 164.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.4 M |
Inepar SA Technical Analysis
Inepar SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inepar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inepar SA Indstria. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inepar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inepar SA Predictive Forecast Models
Inepar SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inepar SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inepar SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inepar SA Indstria
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inepar SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inepar SA Indstria help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inepar SA Indstria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inepar SA Indstria may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Inepar SA Indstria has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Inepar SA Indstria has accumulated 476.92 M in total debt. Inepar SA Indstria has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Inepar SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Inepar SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Inepar SA Indstria sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Inepar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Inepar SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Inepar Stock Analysis
When running Inepar SA's price analysis, check to measure Inepar SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inepar SA is operating at the current time. Most of Inepar SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inepar SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inepar SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inepar SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.