Informatica Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.83

INFA Stock  USD 26.43  0.02  0.08%   
Informatica's future price is the expected price of Informatica instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Informatica performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Informatica Backtesting, Informatica Valuation, Informatica Correlation, Informatica Hype Analysis, Informatica Volatility, Informatica History as well as Informatica Performance.
For information on how to trade Informatica Stock refer to our How to Trade Informatica Stock guide.
  
At present, Informatica's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 5.34, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (68.66). Please specify Informatica's target price for which you would like Informatica odds to be computed.

Informatica Target Price Odds to finish over 29.83

The tendency of Informatica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 29.83  or more in 90 days
 26.43 90 days 29.83 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Informatica to move over $ 29.83  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Informatica probability density function shows the probability of Informatica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Informatica price to stay between its current price of $ 26.43  and $ 29.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Informatica has a beta of 0.96. This usually indicates Informatica market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Informatica is expected to follow. Additionally Informatica has an alpha of 0.0288, implying that it can generate a 0.0288 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Informatica Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Informatica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Informatica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1426.3228.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.4424.6226.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.1027.2829.46
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.1623.2525.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Informatica. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Informatica's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Informatica's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Informatica.

Informatica Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Informatica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Informatica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Informatica, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Informatica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Informatica Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Informatica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Informatica can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (125.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 B.
Informatica has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Informatica Inc Trading 3.56 percent Higher on Nov 21

Informatica Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Informatica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Informatica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Informatica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding288.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments992.3 M

Informatica Technical Analysis

Informatica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Informatica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Informatica. In general, you should focus on analyzing Informatica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Informatica Predictive Forecast Models

Informatica's time-series forecasting models is one of many Informatica's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Informatica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Informatica

Checking the ongoing alerts about Informatica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Informatica help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (125.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 B.
Informatica has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Informatica Inc Trading 3.56 percent Higher on Nov 21
When determining whether Informatica offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Informatica's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Informatica Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Informatica Stock:
Check out Informatica Backtesting, Informatica Valuation, Informatica Correlation, Informatica Hype Analysis, Informatica Volatility, Informatica History as well as Informatica Performance.
For information on how to trade Informatica Stock refer to our How to Trade Informatica Stock guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Informatica. If investors know Informatica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Informatica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.23
Revenue Per Share
5.547
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.034
Return On Assets
0.0174
Return On Equity
0.029
The market value of Informatica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Informatica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Informatica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Informatica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Informatica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Informatica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Informatica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Informatica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Informatica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.