Infosys (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,872
| INFY Stock | 1,858 2.45 0.13% |
Infosys |
Infosys Target Price Odds to finish below 1,872
The tendency of Infosys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,858 | 90 days | 1,858 | about 36.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Infosys to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 36.14 (This Infosys Limited probability density function shows the probability of Infosys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Infosys has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Infosys average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infosys Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Infosys Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Infosys Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Infosys
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infosys Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Infosys Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Infosys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Infosys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Infosys Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Infosys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 46.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Infosys Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Infosys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Infosys Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Infosys Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Infosys Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Infosys Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Infosys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Infosys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infosys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 B |
Infosys Technical Analysis
Infosys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Infosys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Infosys Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Infosys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Infosys Predictive Forecast Models
Infosys' time-series forecasting models is one of many Infosys' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Infosys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Infosys Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Infosys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Infosys Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Infosys Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Infosys Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Infosys Stock Analysis
When running Infosys' price analysis, check to measure Infosys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infosys is operating at the current time. Most of Infosys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infosys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infosys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infosys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.