Ingersoll Rand (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4121.94

INGERRAND   4,485  106.55  2.32%   
Ingersoll Rand's future price is the expected price of Ingersoll Rand instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ingersoll Rand Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ingersoll Rand Backtesting, Ingersoll Rand Valuation, Ingersoll Rand Correlation, Ingersoll Rand Hype Analysis, Ingersoll Rand Volatility, Ingersoll Rand History as well as Ingersoll Rand Performance.
For information on how to trade Ingersoll Stock refer to our How to Trade Ingersoll Stock guide.
  
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Ingersoll Rand Target Price Odds to finish over 4121.94

The tendency of Ingersoll Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4,122  in 90 days
 4,485 90 days 4,122 
about 73.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ingersoll Rand to stay above  4,122  in 90 days from now is about 73.33 (This Ingersoll Rand Limited probability density function shows the probability of Ingersoll Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ingersoll Rand price to stay between  4,122  and its current price of 4484.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ingersoll Rand has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ingersoll Rand average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ingersoll Rand Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ingersoll Rand Limited has an alpha of 0.1383, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ingersoll Rand Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ingersoll Rand

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ingersoll Rand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,1324,6274,628
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,4454,4475,051
Details

Ingersoll Rand Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ingersoll Rand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ingersoll Rand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ingersoll Rand Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ingersoll Rand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
143.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Ingersoll Rand Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ingersoll Rand for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ingersoll Rand can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ingersoll Rand is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Do These 3 Checks Before Buying Ingersoll-Rand Limited For Its Upcoming Dividend - Simply Wall St

Ingersoll Rand Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ingersoll Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ingersoll Rand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ingersoll Rand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

Ingersoll Rand Technical Analysis

Ingersoll Rand's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ingersoll Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ingersoll Rand Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ingersoll Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ingersoll Rand Predictive Forecast Models

Ingersoll Rand's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ingersoll Rand's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ingersoll Rand's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ingersoll Rand

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ingersoll Rand for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ingersoll Rand help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ingersoll Rand is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Do These 3 Checks Before Buying Ingersoll-Rand Limited For Its Upcoming Dividend - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Ingersoll Stock

Ingersoll Rand financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ingersoll Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ingersoll with respect to the benefits of owning Ingersoll Rand security.