Ingram Micro Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.95
| INGM Stock | 22.16 0.16 0.73% |
Ingram |
Ingram Micro Target Price Odds to finish over 17.95
The tendency of Ingram Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 17.95 in 90 days |
| 22.16 | 90 days | 17.95 | about 82.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ingram Micro to stay above 17.95 in 90 days from now is about 82.71 (This Ingram Micro Holding probability density function shows the probability of Ingram Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ingram Micro Holding price to stay between 17.95 and its current price of 22.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ingram Micro has a beta of 0.38. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ingram Micro average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ingram Micro Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ingram Micro Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ingram Micro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ingram Micro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ingram Micro Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ingram Micro Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ingram Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ingram Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ingram Micro Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ingram Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.34 |
Ingram Micro Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ingram Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ingram Micro Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ingram Micro Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ingram Micro Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ingram Micro Holding is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Ingram Micro Coverage Initiated at Loop Capital |
Ingram Micro Technical Analysis
Ingram Micro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ingram Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ingram Micro Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ingram Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ingram Micro Predictive Forecast Models
Ingram Micro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ingram Micro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ingram Micro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ingram Micro Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ingram Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ingram Micro Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ingram Micro Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ingram Micro Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ingram Micro Holding is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Ingram Micro Coverage Initiated at Loop Capital |
Check out Ingram Micro Backtesting, Ingram Micro Valuation, Ingram Micro Correlation, Ingram Micro Hype Analysis, Ingram Micro Volatility, Ingram Micro History as well as Ingram Micro Performance. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Wholesale space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ingram Micro. If investors know Ingram will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ingram Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ingram Micro Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ingram that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ingram Micro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ingram Micro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ingram Micro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ingram Micro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ingram Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ingram Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ingram Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.