Intracom Constructions (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.85
| INKAT Stock | EUR 4.75 0.06 1.28% |
Intracom |
Intracom Constructions Target Price Odds to finish below 0.85
The tendency of Intracom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.85 or more in 90 days |
| 4.75 | 90 days | 0.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intracom Constructions to drop to € 0.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Intracom Constructions Societe probability density function shows the probability of Intracom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intracom Constructions price to stay between € 0.85 and its current price of €4.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intracom Constructions Societe has a beta of -0.0882. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intracom Constructions are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intracom Constructions Societe is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intracom Constructions Societe has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Intracom Constructions Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intracom Constructions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intracom Constructions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intracom Constructions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intracom Constructions Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intracom Constructions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intracom Constructions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intracom Constructions Societe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intracom Constructions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Intracom Constructions Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intracom Constructions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intracom Constructions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intracom Constructions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intracom Constructions has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 214.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.44 M. | |
| Intracom Constructions Societe has accumulated about 12.08 M in cash with (22.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Intracom Constructions Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intracom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intracom Constructions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intracom Constructions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 69.8 M |
Intracom Constructions Technical Analysis
Intracom Constructions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intracom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intracom Constructions Societe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intracom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intracom Constructions Predictive Forecast Models
Intracom Constructions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Intracom Constructions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intracom Constructions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intracom Constructions
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intracom Constructions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intracom Constructions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intracom Constructions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intracom Constructions has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 214.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.44 M. | |
| Intracom Constructions Societe has accumulated about 12.08 M in cash with (22.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Intracom Stock
Intracom Constructions financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intracom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intracom with respect to the benefits of owning Intracom Constructions security.