Interlife General (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.47
| INLIF Stock | 4.35 0.03 0.69% |
Interlife |
Interlife General Target Price Odds to finish below 4.47
The tendency of Interlife Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4.47 after 90 days |
| 4.35 | 90 days | 4.47 | about 34.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Interlife General to stay under 4.47 after 90 days from now is about 34.82 (This Interlife General Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Interlife Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Interlife General price to stay between its current price of 4.35 and 4.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Interlife General has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Interlife General average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Interlife General Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Interlife General Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Interlife General Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Interlife General
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interlife General. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Interlife General Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Interlife General is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Interlife General's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Interlife General Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Interlife General within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Interlife General Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Interlife General for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Interlife General can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Interlife General generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Interlife General has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Interlife General Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Interlife Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Interlife General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Interlife General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 2.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.12 | |
| Shares Float | 9.3 M |
Interlife General Technical Analysis
Interlife General's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Interlife Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Interlife General Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Interlife Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Interlife General Predictive Forecast Models
Interlife General's time-series forecasting models is one of many Interlife General's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Interlife General's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Interlife General
Checking the ongoing alerts about Interlife General for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Interlife General help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Interlife General generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Interlife General has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Interlife Stock
Interlife General financial ratios help investors to determine whether Interlife Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Interlife with respect to the benefits of owning Interlife General security.