Intellinetics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.03
| INLX Stock | USD 15.34 0.54 3.65% |
Intellinetics |
Intellinetics Target Price Odds to finish below 11.03
The tendency of Intellinetics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.03 or more in 90 days |
| 15.34 | 90 days | 11.03 | about 27.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intellinetics to drop to $ 11.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.27 (This Intellinetics probability density function shows the probability of Intellinetics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intellinetics price to stay between $ 11.03 and its current price of $15.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Intellinetics has a beta of 0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intellinetics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intellinetics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intellinetics has an alpha of 0.7535, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intellinetics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intellinetics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intellinetics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intellinetics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intellinetics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intellinetics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intellinetics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intellinetics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Intellinetics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intellinetics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intellinetics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intellinetics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Intellinetics currently holds 5.65 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.01, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Intellinetics has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Intellinetics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Intellinetics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 38.0% of Intellinetics shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Intellinetics, Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Intellinetics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intellinetics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intellinetics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellinetics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 M |
Intellinetics Technical Analysis
Intellinetics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intellinetics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intellinetics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intellinetics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intellinetics Predictive Forecast Models
Intellinetics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Intellinetics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intellinetics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intellinetics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intellinetics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intellinetics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intellinetics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Intellinetics currently holds 5.65 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.01, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Intellinetics has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Intellinetics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Intellinetics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 38.0% of Intellinetics shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Intellinetics, Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for Intellinetics Stock Analysis
When running Intellinetics' price analysis, check to measure Intellinetics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intellinetics is operating at the current time. Most of Intellinetics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intellinetics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intellinetics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intellinetics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.