ING Groep (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.45
| INN1 Stock | EUR 14.80 0.16 1.07% |
ING |
ING Groep Target Price Odds to finish below 16.45
The tendency of ING Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 16.45 after 90 days |
| 14.80 | 90 days | 16.45 | about 87.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ING Groep to stay under € 16.45 after 90 days from now is about 87.33 (This ING Groep NV probability density function shows the probability of ING Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ING Groep NV price to stay between its current price of € 14.80 and € 16.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ING Groep has a beta of 0.0622. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, ING Groep average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ING Groep NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ING Groep NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ING Groep Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ING Groep
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ING Groep NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ING Groep Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ING Groep is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ING Groep's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ING Groep NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ING Groep within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
ING Groep Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ING Groep for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ING Groep NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ING Groep NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ING Groep generates negative cash flow from operations |
ING Groep Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ING Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ING Groep's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ING Groep's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.043 | |
| Short Term Investments | 31 B |
ING Groep Technical Analysis
ING Groep's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ING Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ING Groep NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing ING Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ING Groep Predictive Forecast Models
ING Groep's time-series forecasting models is one of many ING Groep's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ING Groep's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ING Groep NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about ING Groep for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ING Groep NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ING Groep NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ING Groep generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in ING Stock
ING Groep financial ratios help investors to determine whether ING Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ING with respect to the benefits of owning ING Groep security.