Instabank ASA (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.93

INSTA Stock  NOK 1.95  0.03  1.56%   
Instabank ASA's future price is the expected price of Instabank ASA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Instabank ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Instabank ASA Backtesting, Instabank ASA Valuation, Instabank ASA Correlation, Instabank ASA Hype Analysis, Instabank ASA Volatility, Instabank ASA History as well as Instabank ASA Performance.
  
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Instabank ASA Target Price Odds to finish over 5.93

The tendency of Instabank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.93  or more in 90 days
 1.95 90 days 5.93 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Instabank ASA to move over  5.93  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Instabank ASA probability density function shows the probability of Instabank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Instabank ASA price to stay between its current price of  1.95  and  5.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Instabank ASA has a beta of -0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Instabank ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Instabank ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Instabank ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Instabank ASA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Instabank ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Instabank ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.561.953.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.241.633.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.632.023.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.881.911.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Instabank ASA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Instabank ASA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Instabank ASA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Instabank ASA.

Instabank ASA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Instabank ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Instabank ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Instabank ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Instabank ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.001
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Instabank ASA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Instabank ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Instabank ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Instabank ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Instabank ASA may become a speculative penny stock
Instabank ASA has accumulated about 1.62 M in cash with (650.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Instabank ASA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Instabank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Instabank ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Instabank ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding332.6 M

Instabank ASA Technical Analysis

Instabank ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Instabank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Instabank ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Instabank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Instabank ASA Predictive Forecast Models

Instabank ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Instabank ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Instabank ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Instabank ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Instabank ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Instabank ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Instabank ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Instabank ASA may become a speculative penny stock
Instabank ASA has accumulated about 1.62 M in cash with (650.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Instabank Stock

Instabank ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Instabank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Instabank with respect to the benefits of owning Instabank ASA security.