World Fuel Services Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.41
| INTDelisted Stock | USD 24.26 0.31 1.29% |
World |
World Fuel Target Price Odds to finish over 25.41
The tendency of World Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 25.41 or more in 90 days |
| 24.26 | 90 days | 25.41 | about 10.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of World Fuel to move over $ 25.41 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.76 (This World Fuel Services probability density function shows the probability of World Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of World Fuel Services price to stay between its current price of $ 24.26 and $ 25.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.58 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon World Fuel Services has a beta of -0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding World Fuel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, World Fuel Services is likely to outperform the market. Additionally World Fuel Services has an alpha of 0.0073, implying that it can generate a 0.007293 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). World Fuel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for World Fuel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as World Fuel Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.World Fuel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. World Fuel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the World Fuel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold World Fuel Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of World Fuel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
World Fuel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of World Fuel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for World Fuel Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| World Fuel Services is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| World Fuel Services has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
World Fuel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of World Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential World Fuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. World Fuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 298.4 M |
World Fuel Technical Analysis
World Fuel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. World Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of World Fuel Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing World Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
World Fuel Predictive Forecast Models
World Fuel's time-series forecasting models is one of many World Fuel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary World Fuel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about World Fuel Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about World Fuel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for World Fuel Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| World Fuel Services is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| World Fuel Services has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Other Consideration for investing in World Stock
If you are still planning to invest in World Fuel Services check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the World Fuel's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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