INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES (Nigeria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.50
| INTBREW Stock | 4.00 0.05 1.23% |
INTERNATIONAL |
INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES Target Price Odds to finish below 1.50
The tendency of INTERNATIONAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.50 or more in 90 days |
| 4.00 | 90 days | 1.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES to drop to 1.50 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES PLC probability density function shows the probability of INTERNATIONAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES price to stay between 1.50 and its current price of 4.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES has a beta of 0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES Technical Analysis
INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INTERNATIONAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing INTERNATIONAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES Predictive Forecast Models
INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's time-series forecasting models is one of many INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES
Checking the ongoing alerts about INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for INTERNATIONAL Stock Analysis
When running INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's price analysis, check to measure INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES is operating at the current time. Most of INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of INTERNATIONAL BREWERIES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.