Intel Corp (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5060.0

INTC Stock  ARS 4,310  25.00  0.58%   
Intel Corp's future price is the expected price of Intel Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intel Corp CEDEAR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Intel Corp Backtesting, Intel Corp Valuation, Intel Corp Correlation, Intel Corp Hype Analysis, Intel Corp Volatility, Intel Corp History as well as Intel Corp Performance.
  
Please specify Intel Corp's target price for which you would like Intel Corp odds to be computed.

Intel Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 5060.0

The tendency of Intel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5,060  or more in 90 days
 4,310 90 days 5,060 
about 77.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel Corp to move over  5,060  or more in 90 days from now is about 77.05 (This Intel Corp CEDEAR probability density function shows the probability of Intel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intel Corp CEDEAR price to stay between its current price of  4,310  and  5,060  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intel Corp has a beta of 0.38. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intel Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intel Corp CEDEAR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intel Corp CEDEAR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Intel Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intel Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intel Corp CEDEAR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,3074,3104,313
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0054,0084,741
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,0554,0584,061
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0934,9505,807
Details

Intel Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intel Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intel Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intel Corp CEDEAR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intel Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
374.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Intel Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intel Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intel Corp CEDEAR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intel Corp CEDEAR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Intel Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.1 B

Intel Corp Technical Analysis

Intel Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intel Corp CEDEAR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intel Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Intel Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intel Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intel Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Intel Corp CEDEAR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intel Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intel Corp CEDEAR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intel Corp CEDEAR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Intel Stock

Intel Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intel with respect to the benefits of owning Intel Corp security.