Intel Cdr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.45
| INTC Stock | 13.92 0.01 0.07% |
INTEL |
INTEL CDR Target Price Odds to finish below 14.45
The tendency of INTEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 14.45 after 90 days |
| 13.92 | 90 days | 14.45 | about 86.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INTEL CDR to stay under 14.45 after 90 days from now is about 86.6 (This INTEL CDR probability density function shows the probability of INTEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INTEL CDR price to stay between its current price of 13.92 and 14.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INTEL CDR has a beta of 0.88. This usually indicates INTEL CDR market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, INTEL CDR is expected to follow. Additionally INTEL CDR has an alpha of 0.1726, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). INTEL CDR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INTEL CDR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTEL CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INTEL CDR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INTEL CDR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INTEL CDR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INTEL CDR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INTEL CDR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
INTEL CDR Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INTEL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INTEL CDR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INTEL CDR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 B |
INTEL CDR Technical Analysis
INTEL CDR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INTEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INTEL CDR. In general, you should focus on analyzing INTEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INTEL CDR Predictive Forecast Models
INTEL CDR's time-series forecasting models is one of many INTEL CDR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INTEL CDR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards INTEL CDR in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, INTEL CDR's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from INTEL CDR options trading.
Other Information on Investing in INTEL Stock
INTEL CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether INTEL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INTEL with respect to the benefits of owning INTEL CDR security.