INTERNATIONAL ENERGY (Nigeria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.48
| INTENEGINS | 1.47 0.11 8.09% |
INTERNATIONAL |
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY Target Price Odds to finish below 1.48
The tendency of INTERNATIONAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.48 after 90 days |
| 1.47 | 90 days | 1.48 | about 59.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INTERNATIONAL ENERGY to stay under 1.48 after 90 days from now is about 59.71 (This INTERNATIONAL ENERGY INSURANCE probability density function shows the probability of INTERNATIONAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INTERNATIONAL ENERGY price to stay between its current price of 1.47 and 1.48 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INTERNATIONAL ENERGY INSURANCE has a beta of -0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INTERNATIONAL ENERGY are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY INSURANCE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INTERNATIONAL ENERGY INSURANCE has an alpha of 0.0085, implying that it can generate a 0.008513 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). INTERNATIONAL ENERGY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INTERNATIONAL ENERGY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTERNATIONAL ENERGY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INTERNATIONAL ENERGY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INTERNATIONAL ENERGY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INTERNATIONAL ENERGY INSURANCE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INTERNATIONAL ENERGY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INTERNATIONAL ENERGY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INTERNATIONAL ENERGY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| INTERNATIONAL ENERGY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| INTERNATIONAL ENERGY may become a speculative penny stock |
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY Technical Analysis
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INTERNATIONAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INTERNATIONAL ENERGY INSURANCE. In general, you should focus on analyzing INTERNATIONAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY Predictive Forecast Models
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY's time-series forecasting models is one of many INTERNATIONAL ENERGY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INTERNATIONAL ENERGY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about INTERNATIONAL ENERGY
Checking the ongoing alerts about INTERNATIONAL ENERGY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INTERNATIONAL ENERGY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| INTERNATIONAL ENERGY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| INTERNATIONAL ENERGY may become a speculative penny stock |