Inuvo Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.33
| INUV Stock | USD 0.24 0.01 4.35% |
Inuvo |
Inuvo Target Price Odds to finish below 0.33
The tendency of Inuvo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.33 after 90 days |
| 0.24 | 90 days | 0.33 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inuvo to stay under $ 0.33 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Inuvo Inc probability density function shows the probability of Inuvo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inuvo Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.24 and $ 0.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Inuvo has a beta of 0.96. This usually indicates Inuvo Inc market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Inuvo is expected to follow. Additionally Inuvo Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Inuvo Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Inuvo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inuvo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inuvo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inuvo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inuvo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inuvo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inuvo Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inuvo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Inuvo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inuvo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inuvo Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inuvo Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inuvo Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Inuvo Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 73.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.36 M. | |
| Inuvo Inc currently holds about 8.42 M in cash with (2.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Inuvo Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Inuvo discloses investor relations briefing |
Inuvo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inuvo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inuvo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inuvo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 131.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 M |
Inuvo Technical Analysis
Inuvo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inuvo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inuvo Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inuvo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inuvo Predictive Forecast Models
Inuvo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inuvo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inuvo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inuvo Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inuvo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inuvo Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inuvo Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inuvo Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Inuvo Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 73.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.36 M. | |
| Inuvo Inc currently holds about 8.42 M in cash with (2.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Inuvo Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Inuvo discloses investor relations briefing |
Additional Tools for Inuvo Stock Analysis
When running Inuvo's price analysis, check to measure Inuvo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inuvo is operating at the current time. Most of Inuvo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inuvo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inuvo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inuvo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.