Innventure, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.42

INV Stock   11.13  0.47  4.41%   
Innventure,'s future price is the expected price of Innventure, instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Innventure, performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Innventure, Backtesting, Innventure, Valuation, Innventure, Correlation, Innventure, Hype Analysis, Innventure, Volatility, Innventure, History as well as Innventure, Performance.
For more information on how to buy Innventure, Stock please use our How to Invest in Innventure, guide.
  
Please specify Innventure,'s target price for which you would like Innventure, odds to be computed.

Innventure, Target Price Odds to finish below 9.42

The tendency of Innventure, Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.42  or more in 90 days
 11.13 90 days 9.42 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innventure, to drop to  9.42  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Innventure, probability density function shows the probability of Innventure, Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Innventure, price to stay between  9.42  and its current price of 11.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.58 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Innventure, has a beta of 0.99. This usually indicates Innventure, market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Innventure, is expected to follow. Additionally Innventure, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Innventure, Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innventure,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innventure,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.8010.6616.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.569.4215.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.3211.1817.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0811.0111.93
Details

Innventure, Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innventure, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innventure,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innventure,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innventure, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0001
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.0002

Innventure, Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innventure, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innventure, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innventure, had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Innventure, has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.12 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.84 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.
Innventure, generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Accelsius and iM Data Centers Partner to Bring Sustainable, High-Performance Cooling Solutions to Miami Data Center

Innventure, Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Innventure, Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Innventure,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Innventure,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.7 M
Dividends Paid241 K

Innventure, Technical Analysis

Innventure,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Innventure, Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Innventure,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Innventure, Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Innventure, Predictive Forecast Models

Innventure,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Innventure,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Innventure,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Innventure,

Checking the ongoing alerts about Innventure, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Innventure, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innventure, had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Innventure, has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.12 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.84 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.
Innventure, generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Accelsius and iM Data Centers Partner to Bring Sustainable, High-Performance Cooling Solutions to Miami Data Center

Additional Tools for Innventure, Stock Analysis

When running Innventure,'s price analysis, check to measure Innventure,'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Innventure, is operating at the current time. Most of Innventure,'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Innventure,'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Innventure,'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Innventure, to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.