Identiv Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.12
| INVE Stock | USD 4.21 0.04 0.96% |
Identiv |
Identiv Target Price Odds to finish over 4.12
The tendency of Identiv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.12 in 90 days |
| 4.21 | 90 days | 4.12 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Identiv to stay above $ 4.12 in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Identiv probability density function shows the probability of Identiv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Identiv price to stay between $ 4.12 and its current price of $4.21 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Identiv has a beta of 0.21. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Identiv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Identiv will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Identiv has an alpha of 0.302, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Identiv Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Identiv
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Identiv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Identiv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Identiv Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Identiv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Identiv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Identiv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Identiv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Identiv Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Identiv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Identiv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.94 M. | |
| Identiv has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2367 shares by Justin Scarpulla of Identiv at 3.98 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Identiv Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Identiv Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Identiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Identiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.3 M |
Identiv Technical Analysis
Identiv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Identiv Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Identiv. In general, you should focus on analyzing Identiv Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Identiv Predictive Forecast Models
Identiv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Identiv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Identiv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Identiv
Checking the ongoing alerts about Identiv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Identiv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.94 M. | |
| Identiv has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2367 shares by Justin Scarpulla of Identiv at 3.98 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Identiv Backtesting, Identiv Valuation, Identiv Correlation, Identiv Hype Analysis, Identiv Volatility, Identiv History as well as Identiv Performance. For information on how to trade Identiv Stock refer to our How to Trade Identiv Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Identiv. If investors know Identiv will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Identiv listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Earnings Share (0.74) | Revenue Per Share 4.447 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.80) | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Identiv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Identiv that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Identiv's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Identiv's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Identiv's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Identiv's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Identiv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Identiv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Identiv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.