INVEX Controladora (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 81.2
| INVEXA Stock | MXN 83.00 0.00 0.00% |
INVEX |
INVEX Controladora Target Price Odds to finish below 81.2
The tendency of INVEX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 81.20 or more in 90 days |
| 83.00 | 90 days | 81.20 | about 20.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INVEX Controladora to drop to 81.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.2 (This INVEX Controladora SAB probability density function shows the probability of INVEX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INVEX Controladora SAB price to stay between 81.20 and its current price of 83.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INVEX Controladora SAB has a beta of -0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INVEX Controladora are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INVEX Controladora SAB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INVEX Controladora SAB has an alpha of 0.0379, implying that it can generate a 0.0379 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). INVEX Controladora Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INVEX Controladora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INVEX Controladora SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of INVEX Controladora's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
INVEX Controladora Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INVEX Controladora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INVEX Controladora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INVEX Controladora SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INVEX Controladora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
INVEX Controladora Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INVEX Controladora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INVEX Controladora SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| INVEX Controladora has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| INVEX Controladora SAB has accumulated 66.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 735.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. INVEX Controladora SAB has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist INVEX Controladora until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, INVEX Controladora's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like INVEX Controladora SAB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for INVEX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about INVEX Controladora's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
INVEX Controladora Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INVEX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INVEX Controladora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INVEX Controladora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 163.1 M |
INVEX Controladora Technical Analysis
INVEX Controladora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INVEX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INVEX Controladora SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing INVEX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INVEX Controladora Predictive Forecast Models
INVEX Controladora's time-series forecasting models is one of many INVEX Controladora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INVEX Controladora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about INVEX Controladora SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about INVEX Controladora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INVEX Controladora SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| INVEX Controladora has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| INVEX Controladora SAB has accumulated 66.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 735.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. INVEX Controladora SAB has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist INVEX Controladora until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, INVEX Controladora's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like INVEX Controladora SAB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for INVEX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about INVEX Controladora's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in INVEX Stock
INVEX Controladora financial ratios help investors to determine whether INVEX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INVEX with respect to the benefits of owning INVEX Controladora security.