Identiv (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.5
| INVN Stock | EUR 3.62 0.13 3.72% |
Identiv |
Identiv Target Price Odds to finish below 3.5
The tendency of Identiv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.50 or more in 90 days |
| 3.62 | 90 days | 3.50 | about 91.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Identiv to drop to € 3.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.84 (This Identiv probability density function shows the probability of Identiv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Identiv price to stay between € 3.50 and its current price of €3.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This usually indicates Identiv market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Identiv is expected to follow. Additionally Identiv has an alpha of 0.1468, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Identiv Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Identiv
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Identiv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Identiv Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Identiv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Identiv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Identiv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Identiv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Identiv Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Identiv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Identiv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Identiv Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Identiv Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Identiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Identiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.2 M |
Identiv Technical Analysis
Identiv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Identiv Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Identiv. In general, you should focus on analyzing Identiv Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Identiv Predictive Forecast Models
Identiv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Identiv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Identiv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Identiv
Checking the ongoing alerts about Identiv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Identiv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Identiv Stock
When determining whether Identiv is a strong investment it is important to analyze Identiv's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Identiv's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Identiv Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Identiv Backtesting, Identiv Valuation, Identiv Correlation, Identiv Hype Analysis, Identiv Volatility, Identiv History as well as Identiv Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Identiv Stock please use our How to Invest in Identiv guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.