Aim Taxexempt Funds Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.34

IORPX Fund  USD 10.45  0.02  0.19%   
Aim Taxexempt's future price is the expected price of Aim Taxexempt instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aim Taxexempt Funds performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aim Taxexempt Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aim Taxexempt Correlation, Aim Taxexempt Hype Analysis, Aim Taxexempt Volatility, Aim Taxexempt History as well as Aim Taxexempt Performance.
  
Please specify Aim Taxexempt's target price for which you would like Aim Taxexempt odds to be computed.

Aim Taxexempt Target Price Odds to finish below 10.34

The tendency of Aim Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.34  or more in 90 days
 10.45 90 days 10.34 
about 41.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aim Taxexempt to drop to $ 10.34  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.75 (This Aim Taxexempt Funds probability density function shows the probability of Aim Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aim Taxexempt Funds price to stay between $ 10.34  and its current price of $10.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aim Taxexempt Funds has a beta of -0.0996. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aim Taxexempt are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aim Taxexempt Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aim Taxexempt Funds has an alpha of 0.0287, implying that it can generate a 0.0287 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aim Taxexempt Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aim Taxexempt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aim Taxexempt Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1810.4510.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7910.0611.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1610.4310.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3310.3910.44
Details

Aim Taxexempt Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aim Taxexempt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aim Taxexempt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aim Taxexempt Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aim Taxexempt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

Aim Taxexempt Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aim Taxexempt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aim Taxexempt Funds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 12.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Aim Taxexempt Technical Analysis

Aim Taxexempt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aim Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aim Taxexempt Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aim Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aim Taxexempt Predictive Forecast Models

Aim Taxexempt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aim Taxexempt's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aim Taxexempt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aim Taxexempt Funds

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aim Taxexempt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aim Taxexempt Funds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 12.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Aim Mutual Fund

Aim Taxexempt financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aim with respect to the benefits of owning Aim Taxexempt security.
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments