Inflation Protected Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.58

IPBAX Fund  USD 10.53  0.04  0.38%   
Inflation Protected's future price is the expected price of Inflation Protected instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inflation Protected Bond Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Inflation Protected Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Inflation Protected Correlation, Inflation Protected Hype Analysis, Inflation Protected Volatility, Inflation Protected History as well as Inflation Protected Performance.
  
Please specify Inflation Protected's target price for which you would like Inflation Protected odds to be computed.

Inflation Protected Target Price Odds to finish over 11.58

The tendency of Inflation Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.58  or more in 90 days
 10.53 90 days 11.58 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inflation Protected to move over $ 11.58  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Inflation Protected Bond Fund probability density function shows the probability of Inflation Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inflation Protected price to stay between its current price of $ 10.53  and $ 11.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Inflation Protected has a beta of 0.42. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inflation Protected average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inflation Protected Bond Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inflation Protected Bond Fund has an alpha of 0.0015, implying that it can generate a 0.001483 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Inflation Protected Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inflation Protected

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inflation Protected. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1510.5310.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1210.5010.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1710.5510.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2810.4610.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inflation Protected. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inflation Protected's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inflation Protected's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Inflation Protected.

Inflation Protected Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inflation Protected is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inflation Protected's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inflation Protected Bond Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inflation Protected within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Inflation Protected Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inflation Protected for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inflation Protected can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
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The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Inflation Protected Technical Analysis

Inflation Protected's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inflation Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inflation Protected Bond Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inflation Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inflation Protected Predictive Forecast Models

Inflation Protected's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inflation Protected's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inflation Protected's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inflation Protected

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inflation Protected for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inflation Protected help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
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The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Inflation Mutual Fund

Inflation Protected financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inflation Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inflation with respect to the benefits of owning Inflation Protected security.
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