International Petroleum (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 104.31
| IPCO Stock | SEK 122.00 1.40 1.16% |
International |
International Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish below 104.31
The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 104.31 or more in 90 days |
| 122.00 | 90 days | 104.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Petroleum to drop to kr 104.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This International Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Petroleum price to stay between kr 104.31 and its current price of kr122.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon International Petroleum has a beta of -0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding International Petroleum are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, International Petroleum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally International Petroleum has an alpha of 0.0027, implying that it can generate a 0.002742 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). International Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for International Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.International Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
International Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| International Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
International Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136.8 M |
International Petroleum Technical Analysis
International Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
International Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
International Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many International Petroleum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about International Petroleum
Checking the ongoing alerts about International Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| International Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for International Stock Analysis
When running International Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure International Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of International Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.