Voya Intermediate Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.91

IPISX Fund  USD 10.83  0.10  0.93%   
Voya Intermediate's future price is the expected price of Voya Intermediate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Voya Intermediate Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Voya Intermediate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Voya Intermediate Correlation, Voya Intermediate Hype Analysis, Voya Intermediate Volatility, Voya Intermediate History as well as Voya Intermediate Performance.
  
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Voya Intermediate Target Price Odds to finish over 11.91

The tendency of Voya Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.91  or more in 90 days
 10.83 90 days 11.91 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Voya Intermediate to move over $ 11.91  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Voya Intermediate Bond probability density function shows the probability of Voya Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Voya Intermediate Bond price to stay between its current price of $ 10.83  and $ 11.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Voya Intermediate Bond has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Voya Intermediate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Voya Intermediate Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Voya Intermediate Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Voya Intermediate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Voya Intermediate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Intermediate Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Voya Intermediate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5010.8311.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9210.2511.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4810.8111.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6810.7510.82
Details

Voya Intermediate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Voya Intermediate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Voya Intermediate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Voya Intermediate Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Voya Intermediate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.5

Voya Intermediate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Voya Intermediate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Voya Intermediate Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Voya Intermediate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Voya Intermediate Bond generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund retains about 9.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Voya Intermediate Technical Analysis

Voya Intermediate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Voya Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Voya Intermediate Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Voya Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Voya Intermediate Predictive Forecast Models

Voya Intermediate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Voya Intermediate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Voya Intermediate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Voya Intermediate Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Voya Intermediate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Voya Intermediate Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Voya Intermediate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Voya Intermediate Bond generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund retains about 9.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Voya Mutual Fund

Voya Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voya Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voya with respect to the benefits of owning Voya Intermediate security.
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