Indo Pureco (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.89

IPPE Stock   14.00  0.00  0.00%   
Indo Pureco's future price is the expected price of Indo Pureco instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indo Pureco Pratama performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indo Pureco Backtesting, Indo Pureco Valuation, Indo Pureco Correlation, Indo Pureco Hype Analysis, Indo Pureco Volatility, Indo Pureco History as well as Indo Pureco Performance.
  
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Indo Pureco Target Price Odds to finish over 15.89

The tendency of Indo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  15.89  or more in 90 days
 14.00 90 days 15.89 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indo Pureco to move over  15.89  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Indo Pureco Pratama probability density function shows the probability of Indo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indo Pureco Pratama price to stay between its current price of  14.00  and  15.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indo Pureco has a beta of 0.64. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Indo Pureco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indo Pureco Pratama will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indo Pureco Pratama has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Indo Pureco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indo Pureco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indo Pureco Pratama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6714.0015.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4213.7515.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7014.0315.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0014.0014.00
Details

Indo Pureco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indo Pureco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indo Pureco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indo Pureco Pratama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indo Pureco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Indo Pureco Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indo Pureco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indo Pureco Pratama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indo Pureco generates negative cash flow from operations
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Indo Pureco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indo Pureco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indo Pureco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments21.4 B
Shares Float2.2 B

Indo Pureco Technical Analysis

Indo Pureco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indo Pureco Pratama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indo Pureco Predictive Forecast Models

Indo Pureco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indo Pureco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indo Pureco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indo Pureco Pratama

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indo Pureco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indo Pureco Pratama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indo Pureco generates negative cash flow from operations
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Indo Stock

Indo Pureco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indo with respect to the benefits of owning Indo Pureco security.