MNC Vision (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.63
| IPTV Stock | 24.00 1.00 4.00% |
MNC |
MNC Vision Target Price Odds to finish below 23.63
The tendency of MNC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.63 or more in 90 days |
| 24.00 | 90 days | 23.63 | nearly 4.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MNC Vision to drop to 23.63 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.01 (This MNC Vision Networks probability density function shows the probability of MNC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MNC Vision Networks price to stay between 23.63 and its current price of 24.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MNC Vision Networks has a beta of -0.41. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MNC Vision are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MNC Vision Networks is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MNC Vision Networks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MNC Vision Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MNC Vision
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MNC Vision Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MNC Vision Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MNC Vision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MNC Vision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MNC Vision Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MNC Vision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
MNC Vision Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MNC Vision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MNC Vision Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MNC Vision Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MNC Vision Networks has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
MNC Vision Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MNC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MNC Vision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MNC Vision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28 B |
MNC Vision Technical Analysis
MNC Vision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MNC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MNC Vision Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing MNC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MNC Vision Predictive Forecast Models
MNC Vision's time-series forecasting models is one of many MNC Vision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MNC Vision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MNC Vision Networks
Checking the ongoing alerts about MNC Vision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MNC Vision Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MNC Vision Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MNC Vision Networks has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in MNC Stock
MNC Vision financial ratios help investors to determine whether MNC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MNC with respect to the benefits of owning MNC Vision security.