IRB Infrastructure (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 50.42
| IRB Stock | 53.39 0.24 0.45% |
IRB |
IRB Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish below 50.42
The tendency of IRB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 50.42 or more in 90 days |
| 53.39 | 90 days | 50.42 | about 12.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IRB Infrastructure to drop to 50.42 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.33 (This IRB Infrastructure Developers probability density function shows the probability of IRB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IRB Infrastructure price to stay between 50.42 and its current price of 53.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, IRB Infrastructure will likely underperform. Additionally IRB Infrastructure Developers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IRB Infrastructure Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IRB Infrastructure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IRB Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IRB Infrastructure Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IRB Infrastructure is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IRB Infrastructure's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IRB Infrastructure Developers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IRB Infrastructure within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
IRB Infrastructure Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IRB Infrastructure for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IRB Infrastructure can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IRB Infrastructure generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| IRB Infrastructure is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: IRB Infra share price rises over 5 technical experts see further upside heres what they say - MSN |
IRB Infrastructure Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IRB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IRB Infrastructure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IRB Infrastructure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
IRB Infrastructure Technical Analysis
IRB Infrastructure's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IRB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IRB Infrastructure Developers. In general, you should focus on analyzing IRB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IRB Infrastructure Predictive Forecast Models
IRB Infrastructure's time-series forecasting models is one of many IRB Infrastructure's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IRB Infrastructure's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IRB Infrastructure
Checking the ongoing alerts about IRB Infrastructure for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IRB Infrastructure help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IRB Infrastructure generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| IRB Infrastructure is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: IRB Infra share price rises over 5 technical experts see further upside heres what they say - MSN |
Other Information on Investing in IRB Stock
IRB Infrastructure financial ratios help investors to determine whether IRB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IRB with respect to the benefits of owning IRB Infrastructure security.