Investis Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 109.08

IREN Stock  CHF 109.50  1.00  0.92%   
Investis Holding's future price is the expected price of Investis Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Investis Holding SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investis Holding Backtesting, Investis Holding Valuation, Investis Holding Correlation, Investis Holding Hype Analysis, Investis Holding Volatility, Investis Holding History as well as Investis Holding Performance.
  
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Investis Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 109.08

The tendency of Investis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 109.08  or more in 90 days
 109.50 90 days 109.08 
about 22.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investis Holding to drop to ₣ 109.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.4 (This Investis Holding SA probability density function shows the probability of Investis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investis Holding price to stay between ₣ 109.08  and its current price of ₣109.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Investis Holding SA has a beta of -0.0692. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Investis Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Investis Holding SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Investis Holding SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Investis Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Investis Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investis Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.13109.50109.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.87105.24120.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
108.84109.20109.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.41108.95109.49
Details

Investis Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investis Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investis Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investis Holding SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investis Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0074
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.4

Investis Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investis Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investis Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Investis Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Investis Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Investis Holding SA has accumulated 255 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 93.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Investis Holding has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Investis Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Investis Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Investis Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Investis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Investis Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 78.0% of Investis Holding shares are held by company insiders

Investis Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Investis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Investis Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Investis Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.8 M

Investis Holding Technical Analysis

Investis Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investis Holding SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Investis Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Investis Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investis Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investis Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Investis Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Investis Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investis Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Investis Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Investis Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Investis Holding SA has accumulated 255 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 93.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Investis Holding has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Investis Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Investis Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Investis Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Investis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Investis Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 78.0% of Investis Holding shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Investis Stock Analysis

When running Investis Holding's price analysis, check to measure Investis Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investis Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Investis Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investis Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investis Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investis Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.