Irsa Inversiones Y Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.79
| IRS Stock | USD 16.86 0.11 0.66% |
IRSA |
IRSA Inversiones Target Price Odds to finish below 16.79
The tendency of IRSA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.79 or more in 90 days |
| 16.86 | 90 days | 16.79 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IRSA Inversiones to drop to $ 16.79 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This IRSA Inversiones Y probability density function shows the probability of IRSA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IRSA Inversiones Y price to stay between $ 16.79 and its current price of $16.86 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon IRSA Inversiones has a beta of 0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IRSA Inversiones average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IRSA Inversiones Y will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IRSA Inversiones Y has an alpha of 0.8908, implying that it can generate a 0.89 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). IRSA Inversiones Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for IRSA Inversiones
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IRSA Inversiones Y. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IRSA Inversiones Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IRSA Inversiones is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IRSA Inversiones' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IRSA Inversiones Y, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IRSA Inversiones within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.29 |
IRSA Inversiones Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IRSA Inversiones for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IRSA Inversiones Y can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IRSA Inversiones Y has 377.7 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.45, which is OK given its current industry classification. IRSA Inversiones Y has a current ratio of 0.27, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for IRSA to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 328.55 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (33.8 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 61.1 B. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Annima Increases Dividend to 3.60 Per Share |
IRSA Inversiones Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IRSA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IRSA Inversiones' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IRSA Inversiones' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 742 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 149 B |
IRSA Inversiones Technical Analysis
IRSA Inversiones' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IRSA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IRSA Inversiones Y. In general, you should focus on analyzing IRSA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IRSA Inversiones Predictive Forecast Models
IRSA Inversiones' time-series forecasting models is one of many IRSA Inversiones' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IRSA Inversiones' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IRSA Inversiones Y
Checking the ongoing alerts about IRSA Inversiones for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IRSA Inversiones Y help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IRSA Inversiones Y has 377.7 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.45, which is OK given its current industry classification. IRSA Inversiones Y has a current ratio of 0.27, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for IRSA to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 328.55 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (33.8 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 61.1 B. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Annima Increases Dividend to 3.60 Per Share |
Additional Tools for IRSA Stock Analysis
When running IRSA Inversiones' price analysis, check to measure IRSA Inversiones' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IRSA Inversiones is operating at the current time. Most of IRSA Inversiones' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IRSA Inversiones' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IRSA Inversiones' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IRSA Inversiones to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.