Image Systems (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.0
| IS Stock | SEK 2.17 0.07 3.33% |
Image |
Image Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 2.0
The tendency of Image Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above kr 2.00 in 90 days |
| 2.17 | 90 days | 2.00 | about 8.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Image Systems to stay above kr 2.00 in 90 days from now is about 8.27 (This Image Systems AB probability density function shows the probability of Image Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Image Systems AB price to stay between kr 2.00 and its current price of kr2.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Image Systems has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Image Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Image Systems AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Image Systems AB has an alpha of 0.7953, implying that it can generate a 0.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Image Systems Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Image Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Image Systems AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Image Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Image Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Image Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Image Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Image Systems AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Image Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Image Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Image Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Image Systems AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Image Systems AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Image Systems AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Image Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Image Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Image Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Image Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 M |
Image Systems Technical Analysis
Image Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Image Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Image Systems AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Image Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Image Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Image Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Image Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Image Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Image Systems AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Image Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Image Systems AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Image Systems AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Image Systems AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Image Stock Analysis
When running Image Systems' price analysis, check to measure Image Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Image Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Image Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Image Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Image Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Image Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.