Israel Canada (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1503.75

ISCN Stock  ILS 1,513  14.00  0.93%   
Israel Canada's future price is the expected price of Israel Canada instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Israel Canada performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Israel Canada Backtesting, Israel Canada Valuation, Israel Canada Correlation, Israel Canada Hype Analysis, Israel Canada Volatility, Israel Canada History as well as Israel Canada Performance.
  
Please specify Israel Canada's target price for which you would like Israel Canada odds to be computed.

Israel Canada Target Price Odds to finish over 1503.75

The tendency of Israel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above S 1,504  in 90 days
 1,513 90 days 1,504 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Israel Canada to stay above S 1,504  in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Israel Canada probability density function shows the probability of Israel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Israel Canada price to stay between S 1,504  and its current price of S1513.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Israel Canada has a beta of 0.55. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Israel Canada average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Israel Canada will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Israel Canada has an alpha of 8.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 7.93E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Israel Canada Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Israel Canada

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Israel Canada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5111,5131,515
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2151,2171,664
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,4931,4951,498
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,2021,3731,545
Details

Israel Canada Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Israel Canada is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Israel Canada's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Israel Canada, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Israel Canada within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0008
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
77.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Israel Canada Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Israel Canada for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Israel Canada can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Israel Canada has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Israel Canada has accumulated about 79.41 M in cash with (1.82 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Israel Canada Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Israel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Israel Canada's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Israel Canada's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding292.2 M

Israel Canada Technical Analysis

Israel Canada's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Israel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Israel Canada. In general, you should focus on analyzing Israel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Israel Canada Predictive Forecast Models

Israel Canada's time-series forecasting models is one of many Israel Canada's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Israel Canada's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Israel Canada

Checking the ongoing alerts about Israel Canada for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Israel Canada help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Israel Canada has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Israel Canada has accumulated about 79.41 M in cash with (1.82 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Israel Stock

Israel Canada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Israel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Israel with respect to the benefits of owning Israel Canada security.