Israel Discount Bank Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 58.19
| ISDAY Stock | USD 58.19 0.00 0.00% |
Israel |
Israel Discount Target Price Odds to finish below 58.19
The tendency of Israel Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 58.19 | 90 days | 58.19 | about 81.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Israel Discount to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 81.53 (This Israel Discount Bank probability density function shows the probability of Israel Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Israel Discount has a beta of 0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Israel Discount average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Israel Discount Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Israel Discount Bank has an alpha of 0.1467, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Israel Discount Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Israel Discount
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Israel Discount Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Israel Discount Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Israel Discount is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Israel Discount's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Israel Discount Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Israel Discount within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Israel Discount Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Israel Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Israel Discount's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Israel Discount's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 144 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.51 | |
| Shares Float | 123.7 M |
Israel Discount Technical Analysis
Israel Discount's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Israel Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Israel Discount Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Israel Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Israel Discount Predictive Forecast Models
Israel Discount's time-series forecasting models is one of many Israel Discount's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Israel Discount's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Israel Discount in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Israel Discount's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Israel Discount options trading.
Additional Tools for Israel Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Israel Discount's price analysis, check to measure Israel Discount's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Israel Discount is operating at the current time. Most of Israel Discount's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Israel Discount's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Israel Discount's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Israel Discount to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.