Insuraguest Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0435
ISGI Stock | CAD 0.04 0.01 14.29% |
InsuraGuest |
InsuraGuest Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0435
The tendency of InsuraGuest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 0.04 after 90 days |
0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 73.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of InsuraGuest Technologies to stay under C$ 0.04 after 90 days from now is about 73.27 (This InsuraGuest Technologies probability density function shows the probability of InsuraGuest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of InsuraGuest Technologies price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.04 and C$ 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon InsuraGuest Technologies has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding InsuraGuest Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, InsuraGuest Technologies is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that InsuraGuest Technologies has an alpha of 3.1492, implying that it can generate a 3.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). InsuraGuest Technologies Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for InsuraGuest Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InsuraGuest Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.InsuraGuest Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. InsuraGuest Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the InsuraGuest Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold InsuraGuest Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of InsuraGuest Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
InsuraGuest Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of InsuraGuest Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for InsuraGuest Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.InsuraGuest Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
InsuraGuest Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
InsuraGuest Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
InsuraGuest Technologies has accumulated 466.62 K in total debt. InsuraGuest Technologies has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist InsuraGuest Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, InsuraGuest Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like InsuraGuest Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for InsuraGuest to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about InsuraGuest Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the revenue of 674.78 K. Net Loss for the year was (725.96 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 248.96 K. | |
InsuraGuest Technologies has accumulated about 57.63 K in cash with (466.33 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: InsuraGuest Technologies Degree of Operating Leve - GuruFocus.com |
InsuraGuest Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of InsuraGuest Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential InsuraGuest Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. InsuraGuest Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.3 M | |
Shares Float | 65.5 M |
InsuraGuest Technologies Technical Analysis
InsuraGuest Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. InsuraGuest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of InsuraGuest Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing InsuraGuest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
InsuraGuest Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
InsuraGuest Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many InsuraGuest Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary InsuraGuest Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about InsuraGuest Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about InsuraGuest Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for InsuraGuest Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
InsuraGuest Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
InsuraGuest Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
InsuraGuest Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
InsuraGuest Technologies has accumulated 466.62 K in total debt. InsuraGuest Technologies has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist InsuraGuest Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, InsuraGuest Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like InsuraGuest Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for InsuraGuest to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about InsuraGuest Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the revenue of 674.78 K. Net Loss for the year was (725.96 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 248.96 K. | |
InsuraGuest Technologies has accumulated about 57.63 K in cash with (466.33 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: InsuraGuest Technologies Degree of Operating Leve - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for InsuraGuest Stock Analysis
When running InsuraGuest Technologies' price analysis, check to measure InsuraGuest Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy InsuraGuest Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of InsuraGuest Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of InsuraGuest Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move InsuraGuest Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of InsuraGuest Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.