Is Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.95

ISGYO Stock  TRY 19.67  0.45  2.24%   
Is Gayrimenkul's future price is the expected price of Is Gayrimenkul instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Is Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Is Gayrimenkul Valuation, Is Gayrimenkul Correlation, Is Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Is Gayrimenkul Volatility, Is Gayrimenkul History as well as Is Gayrimenkul Performance.
  
Please specify Is Gayrimenkul's target price for which you would like Is Gayrimenkul odds to be computed.

Is Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish below 6.95

The tendency of ISGYO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  6.95  or more in 90 days
 19.67 90 days 6.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Is Gayrimenkul to drop to  6.95  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of ISGYO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim price to stay between  6.95  and its current price of 19.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Is Gayrimenkul has a beta of 0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Is Gayrimenkul average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.2119, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Is Gayrimenkul Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Is Gayrimenkul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.0519.6722.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3819.0021.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.3219.9422.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3317.6620.98
Details

Is Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Is Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Is Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Is Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Is Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Is Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Is Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Is Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ISGYO to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Is Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated about 93.26 M in cash with (377.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Is Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ISGYO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Is Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Is Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding958.8 M

Is Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis

Is Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ISGYO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing ISGYO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Is Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models

Is Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Is Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Is Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Is Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Is Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Is Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ISGYO to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Is Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Is Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated about 93.26 M in cash with (377.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ISGYO Stock

Is Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether ISGYO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ISGYO with respect to the benefits of owning Is Gayrimenkul security.