Intershop Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 120.4
| ISN Stock | CHF 123.20 0.20 0.16% |
Intershop |
Intershop Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 120.4
The tendency of Intershop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 120.40 or more in 90 days |
| 123.20 | 90 days | 120.40 | about 11.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intershop Holding to drop to ₣ 120.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.49 (This Intershop Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Intershop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intershop Holding price to stay between ₣ 120.40 and its current price of ₣123.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intershop Holding AG has a beta of -0.0205. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intershop Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intershop Holding AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intershop Holding AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Intershop Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intershop Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intershop Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intershop Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intershop Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intershop Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intershop Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intershop Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0005 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Intershop Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intershop Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intershop Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intershop Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Intershop Holding AG has accumulated 394.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 87.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intershop Holding has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intershop Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intershop Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intershop Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intershop to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intershop Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 43.0% of Intershop Holding shares are held by company insiders |
Intershop Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intershop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intershop Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intershop Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.7 M |
Intershop Holding Technical Analysis
Intershop Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intershop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intershop Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intershop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intershop Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Intershop Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intershop Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intershop Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intershop Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intershop Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intershop Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intershop Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Intershop Holding AG has accumulated 394.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 87.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intershop Holding has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intershop Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intershop Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intershop Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intershop to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intershop Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 43.0% of Intershop Holding shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Intershop Stock Analysis
When running Intershop Holding's price analysis, check to measure Intershop Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intershop Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Intershop Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intershop Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intershop Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intershop Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.